Seven strands over seventy-six years. arXiv papers are placed at their v1 date and journal papers at their publication date. Faded markers have an uncertain month. The axis is piecewise: the decades before 2012 take the left fifth, and the period since 2023 takes half the width. Squares mark the metareasoning literature proper, the same papers the map draws inside its circle.
Corrections welcome: file an issue on microprediction/metareasoning.